Thursday, December 14, 2006


With the bowl matchups out last week, my present to you this Christmas season are bowl picks. A run-through of all the bowl games with my picks and reasons. All picks are with the spread involved.

Poinsettia Bowl
Northern Illinois vs. Texas Christian (-12) -- December 19, 8:00 p.m.

Heisman hopeful and All-American running back Garrett Wolfe ends his career against a formidable Texas Christian rush defense. The Horned Frogs allow just 2.6 rushing yards per attempt and have outscored opponents by a 3:1 margin this season, while the Huskies won their last two games to become bowl eligible. TCU is riding a seven-game winning streak and haven't been tested by any opponent since a 20-7 loss to Utah in early October. Wolfe is an amazing back, but he has been held in check several times this season against good run defenses, including Western Michigan and Iowa. The same will happen here as the Horned Frogs cruise to their 11th win.

My pick: TCU 31-14 Score: TCU 37-7 (1-0)

Las Vegas Bowl
Brigham Young (-4) vs. Oregon -- December 21, 8:00 p.m.

BYU's John Beck has been simply unstoppable all season, piling up incredible numbers while leading his Cougars to a 10-2 record, including nine straight victories. Beck's thrown 30 touchdowns and just six interceptions and averages more than 319 passing yards per contest. Besides a close 33-31 win against Utah to end the season, the Cougars had completely thrashed eight straight opponents. Oregon has contained passing offenses well this season, allowing just 156 yards per game. The Ducks started the season ranked but have faded down the stretch by losing three in a row and five of their last seven. BYU is simply too talented and too confident to lose this game.

My pick: BYU 35-20 Score: BYU 38-8 (2-0)

New Orleans Bowl
Troy State vs. Rice (-6) -- December 22, 8:00 p.m.

As you probably already knew, the Rice football team stumbled out of the gate en route to losing five of its first six games. But, have no fear, those pesky Owls turned their season around by winning their final six contests to earn a spot in this new bowl game. Troy counters with wins in six of its last 7 games and battled Florida State and Georgia Tech into the fourth quarter earlier this season. The experience from those tough games against BCS-conference opponents should help the Trojans against Rice.

My pick: Rice 24-21 Score: Troy 41-17 (3-0)

PapaJohns.com Bowl
East Carolina vs. South Florida (-4) December 23, 1:00 p.m.

This is an intriguing matchup between two teams that overachieved this season. Both Skip Holtz and Jim Leavitt earned their programs respectability after impressive seasons. South Florida's recent upset of West Virginia as well as a 5-3 Big East conference record prove this team should be ready to handle the Pirates.

My pick: South Florida 27-20 Score: South Florida 24-7 (4-0)

(Side note: I just realized how long this will take me, so I may zoom through a few of these games.)

New Mexico Bowl
San Jose State vs. New Mexico (-3.5) -- December 23, 4:30 p.m.

So, New Mexico gets to play in the New Mexico Bowl? That's creative. Since I don't know anything about either of these teams, I'll go with the home team.

My pick: New Mexico 23-17 Score: San Jose State 20-12 (4-1)

Armed Forces Bowl
Utah (-1.5) vs. Tulsa -- December 23, 8:00 p.m.

Utah has been competitive in all five of its losses this season and nearly pulled off an upset of BYU, before losing 33-31. Interesting note here: The Utes are the only Mountain West team to lead BYU this season. Meanwhile Tulsa plays in a weaker conference and lost three of its last four down the stretch.

My pick: Utah 34-17 Score: Utah 25-13 (5-1)

Hawaii Bowl
Hawaii (-8) vs. Arizona State -- December 24, 8:00 p.m.

This is the easiest game to pick of all the bowl games. I'd take the Rainbow Warriors if the spread was 13. Quarterback Colt Brennan's stats would be difficult to attain playing NCAA Football for XBox 360 with the difficulty level set to easy. Digest these numbers: 4,990 passing yards, 53 touchdowns, 11 INTs. That's beyond ridiculous. Hawaii lost close games to three quality opponents (Alabama, Boise State, Oregon State) and dropped 60 on four different defenses. Meanwhile Arizona State just fired its head coach, recorded a losing record in PAC-10 play and has absolutely zero quality wins this season. Either I'm missing something here or an eight-point spread is significantly too low.

My pick: Hawaii 48-21 Score: Hawaii 41-24 (6-1)

Motor City Bowl
Middle Tennessee vs. Central Michigan (-10) -- December 26, 7:30 p.m.

Central Michigan drilled the Ohio Bobcats 31-10. The Blue Raiders should be nervous.

My pick: Central Michigan 28-17 Score: Central Michigan 31-14 (7-1)

Emerald Bowl
UCLA (-5) vs. Florida State -- December 27, 8:00 p.m.

Riding high after knocking off USC, UCLA's defense should give Florida State fits. At this point, Greentown Pee Wee football could run the ball better than the Seminoles, who average an atrocious 3.5 yards per carry. By the way, this team has six wins this season. Four of those include Troy, Rice, Western Michigan and Duke. Just throwing that out there.

My pick: UCLA 20-10 Score: Florida State 44-27 (7-2)

Independence Bowl
Oklahoma State (-2.5) vs. Alabama -- December 28, 4:30 p.m.

Here's a rule to live by: If your team doesn't have a head coach for its bowl game, you're probably going to lose.

My pick: Oklahoma State 27-17 Score: Oklahoma State 34-31 (8-2)

Texas Bowl
Kansas State vs. Rutgers (-7.5) -- December 28, 8:00 p.m.


It's took me 15 minutes to try and convince myself that Rutgers will win this game by more than one score. I just can't do it. Sorry. Rutgers wins this game because they have more talent and better coaching. But the Scarlet Knights dropped two late season games and aren't exactly playing like they did against Louisville. Expect a closer game against the Wildcats.

My pick: Rutgers 24-21 Score: Rutgers 37-10 (8-3)

Holiday Bowl
Texas A&M vs. California (-5.5) -- December 28, 8:00 p.m.

After losing its opener to Tennessee, then blowing through eight straight victories, many media pundits had the Golden Bears as the best one-loss team in the nation. But then Cal lost to Arizona. And again to USC. And barely handled a one-win Stanford squad 26-17. Texas A&M finished its season by pounding Texas and have two of its three losses by a single point. On top of those facts, the Aggies are getting almost a full touchdown. Can you say money pick?

My pick: Texas A&M 27-24 Score: California 45-10 (8-4)

Music City Bowl
Kentucky vs. Clemson (-10) -- December 29, 1:00 p.m.

Kentucky rallied down the stretch to win four of its final five and become bowl eligible. Still, this seems like a complete mismatch, considering how well Clemson runs the ball and how poor Kentucky's defense has played at times this season. Ten points is awfully high, but I really can't see the Wildcats keeping this game close.

My pick: Clemson 34-20 Score: Kentucky 28-20 (8-5)

Sun Bowl
Missouri vs. Oregon State (-3) -- December 29, 2:00 p.m.


Missouri really flopped to finish the season, losing three of its last four and was a very average 4-4 in Big 12 conference play. Oregon State turned its season around by upsetting USC. The Beavers are winners of seven of their last eight and finished the PAC-10 schedule with six wins.

My pick: Oregon State 35-21 Score: Oregon State 39-38 (8-6)
Liberty Bowl
Houston vs. South Carolina (-7) -- December 29, 4:30 p.m.


I just realized that I'm spending precious time on Earth looking up stats for the Houston Cougars football team. And I'm not getting paid. Screw that.

My pick: Houston 31-30 Score: South Carolina 44-36 (8-7)

Insight Bowl
Minnesota vs. Texas Tech (-6.5) -- December 29, 7:30 p.m.

Minnesota qualified for a bowl game? Really? And it's even on a semi-respectable day? Are we sure about this? Did the Insight Bowl selection committee think they were getting the Vikings and not the Golden Gophers? Somebody should probably check on this.

My pick: Texas Tech 40-21 Score: Texas Tech 44-41 (8-8)

Champ Sports Bowl
Purdue vs. Maryland (Even) -- December 29, 8:00 p.m.

Whoever scheduled the Insight Bowl AND the Champ Sports Bowl on the same day, just half an hour apart, should be slapped in the mouth. How the heck am I supposed to watch both of these sure-to-be-riveting games at once? On a side note, I've watched Purdue this season. They stink. Take the Terrapins.

My pick: Maryland 31-24 Score: Maryland 24-7 (9-8)

Meineke Car Care Bowl
Navy vs. Boston College (-6) -- December 30, 1:00 p.m.

I love Paul Johnson. He's an absolute winner. He won at Georgia Southern and he's turned the Naval Academy into annual 9-10 win program. It'd be very intriguing to see how well he would fare with a big-time program. As for Boston College, see Alabama and the Independence Bowl analysis above.

My pick: Navy 34-31 Score: Boston College 25-24 (10-8)

Alamo Bowl
Iowa vs. Texas (-10.5) -- December 30, 4:30 p.m.

How bad are the Hawkeyes? Here are some facts. They've lost six of eight. They won two Big Ten games all season. They lost to Indiana AND Northwestern. Their only win in the last six weeks is against Northern Illinois. And Texas is only giving 10.5 points? Um, what's the maximum I can bet?

My pick: Texas 38-14 Score: Texas 26-24 (10-9)

Chick-fil-A Bowl
Virginia Tech (-3) vs. Georgia -- December 30, 8:00 p.m.

I know Georgia beat Auburn and Georgia Tech to end the regular season. But Virginia Tech has won six straight and played well in all but two games the entire year. The Bulldogs looked putrid for most of the season and I don't like their odds against a Frank Beamer defense.

My pick: Virgina Tech 27-14 Score: Georgia 31-24 (10-10)

MPC Computers Bowl
Nevada Reno vs. Miami (-3.5) -- December 31, 7:30 p.m.

The only thing I know about Miami is that its a bad football team. The only thing I know about Nevada Reno is that it plays in Nevada.

My pick: Nevada Reno 24-20 Score: Miami 21-20 (11-10)

Outback Bowl
Penn State vs. Tennessee (-4.5) -- January 1, 11:00 a.m.

Have you SEEN Anthony Morelli run an offense? Good Lord, he's terrible. Behind center, he's like a high school senior who just got drunk for the first time and is trying to maneuver his way around a party looking for any girl to hook up with. He stumbles up to some girl who's way out of his league, throws out some bogus lines before finally tripping over a coffee table and throwing up all over his shoes. It's just a sad sight to witness. This is the Anthony Morelli experience.

My pick: Tennessee 31-14 Score: Penn State 20-10 (11-11)

Cotton Bowl
Auburn (-3) vs. Nebraska -- January 1, 1:00 p.m.

Auburn has two linebackers and a running back suspended indefinitely for violating team rules. That can't help the Tigers, especially after two lackluster games where they got blown out by Georgia and barely survived a mediocre Alabama team. Nebraska hasn't looked too hot, either. They turned the ball over five times in the Big 12 championship game loss to Oklahoma. Plus, can we really trust Bill Callahan in a big game?

My pick: Auburn 23-17 Score: Auburn 17-14 (11-11-1)

Capital One Bowl
Wisconsin vs. Arkansas (-1.5) -- January 1, 1:00 p.m.


Easily one of the more interesting bowl matchups. On one side, you've got a Wisconsin team that has beaten absolutely no one, has just one loss -- to Michigan -- and is ranked in the top-5. Then you've got an Arkansas team that played very well after an opening-season blowout loss to USC, beat some good SEC teams and narrowly lost its last two games to the second and third best teams in the country. The difference may be that Wisconsin hasn't seen any team this good since Michigan and they certainly haven't faced a back as talented as McFadden.

My pick: Arkansas 26-20 Score: Wisconsin 17-14 (11-12-1)

Gator Bowl
Georgia Tech vs. West Virginia (-7) -- January 1, 1:00 p.m.

Not sure there could be two teams that are more opposite one another. Georgia Tech can't score because Reggie Ball plays like Steve Grogan on Tecmo Bowl and West Virginia's defense plays like it bet the over on the game and wants to cash in. The biggest question is whether Georgia Tech can score ANY points. I mean, sure, the Yellow Jackets defense is talented and formidable, but the Mountaineers will score their points. I don't think Georgia Tech can counter, especially not for four quarters.

My pick: West Virginia 31-17 Score: West Virginia 38-35 (11-13-1)

Rose Bowl
Michigan vs. USC (-1) -- January 1, 5:00 p.m.

USC got a lot of credit for beating Oregon, California and Notre Dame down the stretch. But those wins don't impress me much. Oregon is terrible and California is overrated, while the Irish not only aren't a top-5 team, they played like complete trash against the Trojans. USC has shown its flaws against two slightly above average teams in Oregon State and UCLA. Meanwhile, Michigan is just waiting to prove it should have been in the title game. The Wolverines will present the toughest defensive challenge to the Trojans yet.

My pick: Michigan 28-20 Score: USC 32-18 (11-14-1)

Fiesta Bowl
Boise State vs. Oklahoma (-7.5) -- January 1, 8:00 p.m.

The Sooners surprised everybody by taking a former wide receiver and converting him to quarterback, then losing Heisman candidate Adrian Peterson early in the season and still making a BCS bowl. This has to be Bob Stoops best coaching job of his career. The Broncos didn't have to beat anyone that good, but they looked impressive in almost every victory. Ian Johnson should give the Sooners problems. I know Oklahoma is good, but good enough to give more than touchdown? To an undefeated team? No, thanks. I'll take the Broncos and their blue turf.

My pick: Oklahoma 31-28 Score: Boise State 43-32 (12-14-1)

Orange Bowl
Louisville (-10) vs. Wake Forest -- January 2, 8:00 p.m.

Question: At what point in the game, after Brian Brohm has thrown 5 touchdowns and racked up 400 yards of offense, will Wake Forest players stop and think, 'Hey, wait a sec, we're WAKE FOREST. Why the hell are we playing football?' My money's on midway through the second.

My pick: Louisville 42-20 Score: Louisville 24-13 (13-14-1)

Sugar Bowl
Notre Dame vs. LSU (-9) -- January 3, 8:00 p.m.

Unfortunately these are the facts: Notre Dame has shown it can't stop offenses with a ton of speed and an agile quarterback, can't protect Brady Quinn against any sort of a decent pass rush and can't run the football against anyone. Why again am I spending money to go to this game? The only advantage Notre Dame has is that Les Miles is a terrible head coach. But, if he has much better players, will it matter?

Side note: Over/under on the number of fights I get into after hearing, 'Tiger Bait!' during the trip? Six, and that's if I don't get arrested.

My pick: (tear rolling down my face) LSU 34-24 Score: LSU 41-14 (14-14-1)

International Bowl
Western Michigan vs. Cincinnati (-8) -- January 6, noon

Whoever allowed this bowl game to be scheduled this late should be kicked in the face.

My pick: Cincinnati 24-17 Score: Cincinnati 27-24 (15-14-1)

GMAC Bowl
Ohio vs. Southern Mississippi (-6) -- January 7, 8:00 p.m.

You don't give Frank Solich a month to prepare for an opponent and get away with it.

My pick: Ohio 31-24 Score: Southern Mississippi 28-7 (15-15-1)

BCS Championship Game
Ohio State (-8) vs. Florida -- January 8, 8:00 p.m.

I didn't get a chance to see Florida beat Arkansas to end the regular season, but I did see the Gators several other times throughout the year. Every time I walked away thinking, 'Wow, that team is just waiting to get pummeled.' Well, the wait is over January 8. The Buckeyes win this easily for two simple reasons: they have more talent and a better coach. No other explanation is needed, really. Give Jim Tressel similar talent as an opponent and he's going to beat you 85% of the time. Florida got outgained by Vanderbilt and should have lost two or three other games this season. At this point, I think LSU is better. I hope to baby Jesus that I'm wrong, but if my life depended on picking this game correctly with the spread, I'd take the Buckeyes.

My pick: Ohio State 37-21 Score: Florida 41-14 (15-16-1)

Wednesday, November 29, 2006


If I didn't feel sick enough watching USC's John David Booty throw two early touchdowns against a Notre Dame defense that couldn't cover Charlie Weis on a 15-yard out -- let alone Dwayne Jarrett -- I hit rock bottom when ABC channel 9 suddenly went out midway through the first quarter.

Nothing but static. No game. No announcers. Nothing.

God probably didn't want me to be tortured by watching the final three hours of the game.

After speeding to a local bar only to discover the game was back on, I rushed back home to see the Irish cut USC's lead to 21-10. That was as close as Notre Dame would come to victory.

It's painfully obvious that Notre Dame won't compete for a national title until at least 2008. That's when the team has a softened schedule, Weis will have his own recruits and the team will hopefully have what it's lacked the past 12 years. Speed.

The defense simply cannot cover anyone. Booty isn't that great of a quarterback but he had three touchdowns before I could drink two beers. The defensive line once again got no pressure on the quarterback and the defensive backs once again failed to pop an opponent's wide receivers at the line of scrimmage. Add in Chinedum Ndukwe's injury forcing rookie David Burton into the lineup and it's easy to see how the Trojans scored 37 points against the Irish defense.

I could go on and on about the poor play of the offensive line, the unforgivable drops by Rhema McKnight which probably changed the entire course of the game, or the awful kick coverage. But there's no point. The bottom line is that Notre Dame is still at least a year away from truly contending for a national title. The schedule next year is brutal and the Irish will be breaking in a new quarterback, two new receivers, and four offensive lineman. The defensive line is gone, as are several linebackers. On top of those losses, Notre Dame starts its season with the following schedule: Georgia Tech, at Penn State, at Michigan, Michigan State, at Purdue, at UCLA, Boston College and USC.

Ouch.

Now the Irish will go to a BCS bowl game they probably shouldn't be in with the real chance of being maimed by another top-tier program. But even if the Irish lose another bowl game, I won't be too upset. Weis has done a great job with some poor players. Yes, Tyrone Willingham gave him Quinn, Walker, McKnight, and Samardzija (who had zero touchdowns in two years under Tyrone). But he also gave him absolutely no offensive lineman, no defense and no place kicker. The media pundits keep crediting Willingham with giving Weis the players to win. Maybe at the skill positions, but not anywhere else. This team still needs some time. Two years ago, I would have been thrilled with a 19-5 record and two BCS bowl appearances. I'm not going to start complaining now.

The one bright spot on Saturday was watching Quinn. The senior piled up 350 total yards and three touchdowns despite no defense, no one to protect him in the pocket and no running game. I'd love to see Troy Smith in the Irish offense and Quinn with Ohio State's, just to see how the two would perform.

In other news, Kip Wells signed a $4 million deal with the defending World Series champions. By the way, he was 2-5 with a 6.60 ERA and a 1.85 WHIP last season. And don't forget he's getting pins removed from his foot this week. How bad is this deal? Let's just say no one in my fantasy league will draft Kip Wells next season. Not even Jason Hummel.

I'm going to tell you a little story about Dave. Dave is a .263 career hitter. Dave has never played a full season. Dave is 33 years old, hit more than 20 home runs in a season once, has never reached the 65-RBI mark, struck out 121 times in 2005 and boasts a .208 career average against left-handed pitching.

His name? David Dellucci. His market value? 3 years, $11.5 million. And I wonder why the Indians haven't won a World Series since 1948.

We now live in a world where Adam Eaton makes $8 million to pitch a baseball. The same Adam Eaton who posted an ERA above 5 and WHIP higher than 1.50 last season. I'm speechless.

At this point, baseball is completely out of control. You've got the rich teams bidding over the right to talk to a player. You've got players losing 13 games and pitching in the deciding game of the National League Championship Series (Oliver Perez, who isn't even available in Yahoo! fantasy leagues). You've got players getting cut by a team only to be picked up by another and then pitching and winning World Series games (Jeff Weaver). And you've got players recovering from elbow surgery that kept them out almost the entire 2005 season banking $8 million to play in Los Angeles (Randy Wolf).

This brings me to my new goal as I head into adulthood. It's a simple three-step plan.

Step 1: Somehow figure out a way to procreate left-handed boys.

Step 2: Make as many as I possibly can.

Step 3: Teach them to pitch.

The best part is I don't even have to completely succeed with step 3 and I'll still be rolling in the money by the time I'm 45. The way Major League baseball is paying crappy players, my boys won't even have to be good. They'll just need a left arm, fingers, a hand, and the ability to throw above 67 mph.

Apparently, those four things are the only criteria required to make big money in the Majors these days.

Sunday, November 19, 2006



Back from the Bend. This weekend's games gave us one certainty and a whole bunch of questions marks.

Let's start out with the easy part: Ohio State is definitely the best team in the nation after beating Michigan 42-39.

Beyond that undeniable fact, everything is clear as mud.

Looking at the contenders:

Michigan: The Wolverines are still No. 2 in the latest BCS poll and there's exactly where they shouldn't be. There is absolutely no way Michigan deserves another shot at Ohio State. For three reasons:

1.) Michigan isn't even the best team in their conference. To play in the national championship game, shouldn't you have to be the best team out of the other 10 in your conference? I'd put USC above Michigan here simply because USC won the PAC-10. Michigan's the Big Ten runner-up.

2.) It's grossly and completely unfair to Ohio State. Um, what happens if Michigan somehow wins the title rematch? Now they're the best team in the country? We're just all gonna forget about the first game? Pretend it didn't happen? Give Michigan the mulligan?

Just so I have this straight, let's recap. If Ohio State beats Michigan twice, the Buckeyes are national champs. If Michigan splits the two games, the Wolverines are national champs. Seriously, great system we've got here in college football.

3.) Losing late in the season is more costly than losing early in the season. Sorry, Wolverine fans, this is reality. Whether fair or not, if you lose early, you have time to reconcile that defeat. If you lose in the last game of your season to your biggest rival, you're cooked.

So if Michigan doesn't deserve a title shot, who does?

Notre Dame: Even if the Irish beat USC, the fact remains they still lost to Michigan by 26. There's no reason to think Notre Dame would beat Ohio State if Michigan couldn't. The pollsters haven't liked the Irish all season, so don't expect it to begin now.

Florida: I'm sorry, but if you get out-gained by the Vanderbilt Commodores and need two blocked kicks to beat South Carolina, you're not the second best team in the country. Florida has also stumbled down the stretch, squeaking by Georgia, Vandy, and South Carolina -- all by a touchdown or less. But if the Gators can beat Arkansas in the SEC Championship Game, those close losses will be viewed in a different light.

Arkansas: The Razorbacks have played exceptionally well en route to going undefeated in SEC play thus far. If they can finish off LSU and Florida, Arkansas could have a very legitimate chance of making it to Glendale. Oh wait. Nevermind. The Razorbacks lost to USC 50-14. That's a 36-point loss if you're scoring at home.

USC: The Trojans can claim wins against California, Oregon and Arkansas. They also have a chance to knock off Notre Dame. Those wins will impress the voters enough to move the Trojans to No. 2. Is that fair?

Remember USC did lose to an unranked Oregon State team. At least Notre Dame lost to the No. 2 team in the country. If Notre Dame beats USC, the Irish will still not be considered for the national title game because of its blowout loss to Michigan. But USC can lose to Oregon State and it's ok? How is the Oregon State loss "better" than losing to No. 2 Michigan? By that logic, would the Irish have been better off losing to unranked Michigan State and beating Michigan? I'm so confused.

Rutgers: Welcome back to reality! We all missed you here. It just wasn't the same without you.

So, what to do? Without the obvious best answer (a playoff system), we're stuck with a cluster of one-loss teams, none of which has a strikingly impressive resume which puts it above the rest. If USC wins its last two games, the Trojans will go to the title game. If Notre Dame wins, then it's likely that Michigan gets a second chance. If Florida wins out and USC loses a game, the Gators could sneak in as well.

The only thing we do know is that Ohio State is a notch above everyone else. And all this debating probably won't make much of a difference.

On January 8th, the Buckeyes will likely beat whoever shows up.

Thursday, November 16, 2006

I had a funny feeling last weekend when I checked the scoreboards. Washington versus an 0-for-the-season Stanford squad. At home. On Senior Day. A game the Huskies should easily win. A game they got blown out in 20-3.

I can't say I was too surprised. This is the essence of a Tyrone Willingham coached team. Win a few games you shouldn't, lose a lot more you shouldn't. Just when you want to believe in the guy after a 4-1 start and near upset of USC, he rips your heart out, stomps on it and then uses his 7-iron to knock it into the rough by losing 6 straight. Haven't we seen this before? Begin career at new school 8-0, lose three of four in an embarrassing fashion to finish the season. Lose to BYU, beat a top-10 Michigan squad. Win the Pac-10, finish the next year around .500.

There's actually a word for when something happens over and over and over again. It's called a pattern. And if you can't see the pattern of a Tyrone Willingham coached team, then you shouldn't be operating heavy machinery.

I really feel bad for Washington fans at this point. They're stuck between a bad coach and a PR disaster. If they keep Willingham, they continue to lose. If they fire him (a la Notre Dame) they will be called "racist." It's a very unappealing position to be in.

On top of the horrible defeat to the Trees, Willingham did not allow several players, including two starters, to gain fifth-year eligibility prior to the game. How does this make sense? It's not like Washington is turning down recruits at the door. They need all the help they can get. Cutting two starters for unspecified reasons seems like a poor decision for a team that is already young and inexperienced.

I still find it funny that so many writers rushed to Willingham's side after he led the Huskies to a 4-1 start. These journalists were so intent on making Willingham look good, they somehow lost sight of the obvious: He isn't a good coach. Never has been. Never will be. I've met the guy on many occasions when working at Notre Dame and he was always nice to me. I liked him. But facts are facts. He's never been a consistent winner. Ever. Not at Stanford or Notre Dame. He was also never a defensive or offensive coordinator, positions that almost every head coach has had at some point during their careers. This is a very important and often overlooked fact about Willingham. Coaches use their learning experiences as defensive and offensive coordinators to figure out how to game plan and scheme for opponents. Almost all Division I head coaches have toiled in the top coordinator positions.

Willingham has not.

Knowing this information, it's easy to understand why Willingham has struggled and been inconsistent. He simply hasn't had the same training as other head coaches. Hasn't learned the ropes. Hasn't been through the game-planning wars. Therefore it's unreasonable to think he can out coach most Divison I head coaches. In hindsight, it was unfair for Stanford to hire him without coordinating experience. He wasn't ready. Still isn't.

Now Washington fans are the next group to cope with the roller coaster tendencies of a Willingham coached team. And in a year or two, the fan base, players, and administrators will be tired of the poor execution, questionable decision-making and mounting losses. Sure, Ty might pull out a nine-win season one year to save his job for a little longer, but the success won't last.

How do I know?

It never does.

Wednesday, November 15, 2006


A few random thoughts before I head off to South Bend to watch Brady and Company play their final home game for the Irish.

Am I the only one who finds it interesting that every Notre Dame critic this season seems to point to the team's "easy schedule" as being a negative factor when considering the Irish a national championship contender as well as Brady Quinn a Heisman Trophy front-runner? If you actually look at the facts, Notre Dame has played a much tougher schedule than most people realize. BCS expert Rick Tellshow has Notre Dame's strength of schedule at an impressive 11th. Troy Smith and the Buckeyes? They're 41st.

I watched the replay of Bob Knight's love tap on Michael Prince's chin during a timeout of the Texas Tech/Gardiner Webb game Tuesday night and I had one simple reaction. Nothing. Maybe teaching in the ghetto of Alabama has changed me, but it didn't look outrageous to me. We all know Knight is close to crazy at this point. So he smacked a kid in the chin to get his attention. Big deal. The kid said it wasn't a problem. The parents said it wasn't a problem. Knight said it wasn't a problem. The Texas Tech AD said it wasn't a problem. To me, that means it wasn't a problem. Did ESPN really need to make it the top headline last night and this morning as well as run three separate articles about it? Is that necessary? If Bruce Pearl did that, would it make national headlines? Absolutely not.

Speaking of ESPN, how bad has that network/Web site gotten the past couple years? It's atrocious. Talk about falling from the top. Remember when it had the Olbermann, Patrick, AND Kilborn? Now the main anchorman is Stu Scott. He hasn't even mastered the English language yet. I have to Tivo each segment he's in and replay it so I can find some level of understanding. It's like trying to understand the guy who works for Delta airlines customer service department. You KNOW he lives in India working for 6 cents an hour, but here he is, pretending to be "Charles Thomas". Listening to him stumble through a sentence is almost painful. You just want it to be over and wish you'd never have called in the first place. That's the world I live in when Stu Scott does a segment on SportsCenter. Would Olbermann have ever screamed "Booyah" after every other dunk? I think not.

The Web site might be worse. The front stories are either about Barry Bonds, Terrell Owens, the BCS mess or how Barbaro's foot has healed enough that he's become interested in the philly horses living three stalls down. Here's an idea, how about a story about something relevant? One time fellas? Think about it?

And how in the hell is Linda Cohen still getting paid to work there? Is it like in Office Space when Inatech accidentally keeps paying Milton even though he was supposed to be fired three years ago? Isn't that the only viable explanation for Linda Cohen still being on ESPN? I mean, there's got to be someone better out there. Can't we get Suzy Kolber in the studio? Please?

Question for you: If you have a quarterback who has thrown for 1,300 yards, recorded an 11-to-1 touchdown to interception ratio and kept your team in the playoff race, would you bench him for a veteran who nearly got killed during Week 1 in one of the nastiest hits in recent memory and hasn't seen the field in several months with your playoff hopes riding on winning the next couple games? Me neither. But, then again, neither of us is Herm Edwards.

I am a little surprised Ohio State is a 6.5 favorite against Michigan this Saturday. The Wolverines have played with a chip on their shoulder all season, overcoming doubters since Week 1. Hearing the Buckeyes are decided favorites can only add fuel to that fire. It's going to be an interesting game, for sure. Ohio State has won convincingly in every game this season except Penn State and Illinois, garnered the undisputed No. 1 ranking, and tout having perhaps the "best" player in the country. But everyone keeps forgetting, Michigan's defense will easily be the best unit Ohio State has faced all season. By far. No question. The Buckeyes schedule has seen them beat an overrated Texas team breaking in a freshman quarterback in early September, an ugly win over Penn State, and a convincing victory against 6-5 Iowa. None of those defense are in the same stratosphere as Michigan's. Am I the only person who thinks the Wolverines are going to present major problems for the Buckeye offense?

One last note on this game: If you've watched Mike Hart run at any point this season, you've seen one pissed off guy. I mean, he looks like someone who lost his girlfriend to another man and has been taking his anger out on any collegiate defense he can find. Goof grief, is he a hard runner. Every time he runs, he's got the same look Rudy had when he's getting ready to hit the tackling dummy in his last high school practice. Except, Hart's actually good.

Finally, I expect the Irish to play well as they complete their trifecta with the service academies. I always get a little nervous when Notre Dame plays Navy, Air Force, or Army simply because all three of those teams play their best games against the Irish. Or Notre Dame plays its worst games against the academies. Either way, here's hoping for a comfortable tune up before the showdown with Southern Cal on the 25th.

Be back Sunday. Go Irish.

Tuesday, November 14, 2006


So, a lot happened while I was flying across the country from Seattle to Atlanta last weekend.

First, Auburn showed the nation what I have been preaching for weeks -- that the Tigers are grossly overrated. The only thing that surprises me about the thrashing Auburn took at the hands of Georgia is the fact that so many people were shocked. You mean Brandon Cox isn't a good quarterback? Really? We just figured this out in mid-November? All this time I thought having a one-dimensional offense was a good thing.

Let's just say this: If Florida was a cat, it would be on life 8 right now. They had to block an extra point AND a field goal to hold off 5-5 South Carolina? That's not good. At all. And I thought Urban Meyer was bringing an exciting and electrifying offense to the SEC. This team has gotten worse offensively every game. On top of that, the Gators face powerhouse Western Carolina this weekend. The same Western Carolina team that got shutout 21-0 to Liberty. Let that sink in a minute. I know Notre Dame faces the service academies this season, but Western Carolina is on a whole other level of awful. Florida should be placed on probation for scheduling this game.

Then there's Texas. Sure, you can blame the Longhorns loss against Kansas State to quarterback Colt McCoy injuring himself early in the game. That's fine. Do it. Go ahead and think that way if it makes you feel better. However, I'm going to go out on a limb here and blame the Texas defense, which surrendered an amazing 45 points to the Wildcats.

45 points. To Kansas State. And it's Colt McCoy's fault for being hurt? That makes sense. I'm going to go bathe in broken glass now.

I'll say this about Louisville, West Virginia, and Rutgers: Just because you're the smartest retard, doesn't mean you're smart.

When I fell asleep on the plane, somewhere around Idaho, California was up on Arizona 17-3 at half. I woke up a couple hours later and the Wildcats somehow came from behind to pull off a 24-20 upset. I promptly proceeded to high-five all passengers around me.

So now that four one-loss teams have fallen, somehow, someway, whether-deserving-or-not, Notre Dame has risen back into national championship contention. The Irish have a very conceivable route to the big game. Obviously, they must beat Army and Southern Cal, and also hope the Trojans win next weekend against the Golden Bears. Next, they need either OSU or Michigan to win by more than a few points. And finally, they don't necessarily need Arkansas and Florida to lose, but it surely doesn't hurt.

I am well aware that it is too early to even think about ND making the title game because 1.) Too much can to happen still and 2.) ND has not gotten past a very good USC team.

Still, it's too enticing to pass up. Assuming ND beats USC, does Notre Dame deserve a chance at the national title? Here are some reasons for and against that scenario:

Pro: Notre Dame will be 11-1 -- The Irish will have just one loss, albeit a bad one, to the No. 2 team in the nation. The Irish will boast wins against GT on the road, a blowout of a respectable 7-4 Penn State squad, and a victory on the road against a top 5 BCS team late in the season. Questions of whether Notre Dame is legit should be buried with the conquering of Troy.

Con: Notre Dame is 11-1 -- While that record is very good, the Irish completely stunk against Michigan. I was there and it was embarrassing. It's hard to argue that a one-loss ND team should get a second chance against the Wolverines when Michigan absolutely thrashed the Irish the first time around. Arkansas could also be 11-1 and have a flawless record in SEC play. The Razorbacks surely have an argument for making the title game. And don't forget about Rutgers, who might be sitting a perfect 12-0 assuming the Scarlet Knights defeat West Virginia.

Pro: Notre Dame is a sexier matchup than other one-loss teams -- If you want ratings, the Irish are your team. Because Notre Dame stirs so much emotion in college football fans, the Irish will draw a gigantic fan base to watch the title game. Would Arkansas, West Virginia, Rutgers, or anyone else make the national championship contest must-see TV? Probably not. Sponsors are on ND's side.

Con: That's an unfair way to choose the national championship opponent for the OSU/Michigan winner -- I agree. I hope ND gets picked for its merit on the football field and not for outside reasons. The strongest candidate, if it wins against LSU and Florida, is Arkansas. The Razorbacks are flat-out nasty and have played so well since the USC debactle that people are starting to say that game was 'closer than the score', as Mark Schlabach from ESPN.com said in a recent chat. By the way, the Trojans won that game 50-14.

Pro: There is no outstanding one-loss team that separates itself from the pack -- If Notre Dame beats USC, it's going to be hard to pick a team, such as Arkansas (who lost to the Trojans so badly early in the season) over the Irish. It will also be difficult to choose a Florida team that has looked unimpressive as of late and hasn't beaten anyone since its Tennessee victory in September.

Con: The Irish nearly lost to Michigan State and UCLA, they can't be the best one-loss team -- A win over the Trojans makes those close victories seem better. However, critics will argue that a team that should have lost to the Spartans and the Bruins has no right to be in the title game.

As strange as it sounds, if Notre Dame beats USC ( a big if, I know) they will probably go to the title game. Why? Because they will jump Florida, (who no one thinks deserves a shot,) hold off Arkansas (who got blown out by the same Trojans earlier this year) and push away Rutgers (name one team either the Scarlet Knights, Mountaineers, or Cardinals has beaten, besides themselves this season). It might seem unfair, uncanny, or unbelievable, but it's likely the scenario for the Irish.

We'll have a much better idea in the next 12 days.